Spanish Pundit (II)

marzo 12, 2008

Spanish General Elections 2008: a prospect of the near future

AS I wrote on Sunday, Socialists won because of the vote of leftist radicals, both from United Left (communists, they lose 3 out of 5 seats in Congress) and the Nationalists from both Catalan Republican Left (lose 5 out of 8 seats) and Basque Nationalist Party (lose one which is summed up by the Basque Socialists). In general they have not increased their votes apart from that change. This can boost to extraordinary heights the radicalization of a Government, in nearly all issues.

Brief prospect for Socialist policy in the next term:

  1. Judicial Power: the control over judiciary is going to be increased badly, leading to an accused partiality for the already partial Supreme Court Judges and the members of the General Council of the Judicial Power. We have seen this specially with the gay marriage issue: sanctions for judges who deemed it to be unconstitutional or for the ones who were not convinced of the constitutionality of the gay couples’ adopting children (it is a right for the minor to be adopted, not the other way round). But it can be seen also in the fact of the actual disparition of the popular action, a last resource to control legality for citizens when no one was left. This popular action has been deemed out of order if the Official Prosecutor does not maintain the accusation or if the private accusation is not personally damaged by the crime. Very used to pursue justice in anti-ETA processes, it has been deemed not contemplated for those cases, even when neither the Constitucion or the Criminal Process Law state that exemption.
  2. Constitucional Tribunal: this is going to be another REAL issue. The awaited modification of its members is going to be done after an election where socialist radicalization is going to be the main issue considering the results. So you see the partitiality of the Tribunal is going to grow in an institution whose impartiality is not only a need of its own existence but a requirement to really ensure its “non-political/only juridical” real essence.
  3. Religion: the attacks on the Catholic Church and the support of Islam (whose leaders asked expressely to vote for Socialism) are probably going to grow. For example, these last days we have come to know that Socialists and Al-Fatah made an agreement to mutually assess themselves in several issues. Also, the Socialist Government is going to pay with our taxes, a film named “Al Andalus” which tells a “story” between Reza, a Persian Muslim boy, Mirian, a Jewish girl and and an ex-guardsman of the Caliphate. The film has been called by the Spanish stupidest between stupidest FM Moratinos, a “project of enourmous importance for the Civilizations’ Alliance and a “very efficient tool” for it. Note there is no Christian as main role in the film: so where are the three cultures’ representatives if one of them -Christian- is substituted by an “ex-guardsman of the Caliphate”?
  4. Abortion: the abortion is only non-punishable in Spain in three cases: rape, very grave genetic defects of the foetus and danger for physical and psychical health of the mother. It’s general knowledge that the last of the three causes is abused and perverted by doctors, who instead of considering the cases in which the mother IS really on these cases, they consider in it included every pregnant woman who is not on the other two cases and who arrives to the clinic to ask for an abortion. The scandals over abortion clinics have shown that even 8-month-old foetuses were being aborted and thrown into grinding machines to eliminate proofs. But high quantites of money were being paid to these clinics without, on the other hand, having ANY kind of post-abortion care for the mother of any pre-abortion information about other methods to avoid abortion. The support the Government has given to the clinics, instead of giving it to the pregnant women, is not a good sign, aggravated by the votes’ transfer from United Left, which has been supporting free abortion during the first three months, to the Socialists. Meanwhile the number of abortions in Spain has boosted, and the Government has released the figures later than other years for avoiding a lot of criticism just before the elections. Last news are, that the same clinics who were practising abortions to 8-month pregnant women, also practised abortions to 13-year-old girls.
  5. Euthanasia: nowadays it’s totally forbidden in Spain. Anyway, the minister of Sciences, Bernat Soria, who has allegedly forged his CV including in it several non-existent aspects of his carreer life, has made it clear that he wants to discuss this matter (The euthanasia is a “failed subject” of Spanish society”). After receiving all the radical votes, I’m sure this is going to be one of the main issues in the next term, under the chapter of “social rights” that Zapatero mentioned on his first statement after winning the elections.
  6. Freedom of expression regarding MSM: there has been repeated attacks on non complacent right-wing MSM (which are a minority) We can expect this to increase in the near future.
  7. Internet: with all the considerations made (specially the control over the judiciary), it’s easy to see the highly bad influence the victory is going to have over freedom in Internet, the real Anti-Zapatero bastion. As being a blogger means you are not subjected to an editor, or to publicity or censorship issues and considering the practical inexistence of right-wing MSM, the right side of the blogosphere proved from the beginning that it was alive, was powerful and had clear ideas. Sites like Red Liberal, Red Anti-ZP, Red Popular or Red Blogs pro Rajoy and Internet forums like the dead GrupoRisa.com or Monclovitas proved that there were a lot of people with similar ideas and a common reject of Zapatero’s policy. And that is not convenient for Zapatero who knows that we are not easily influenced by Government’s propaganda.
  8. Digital canon: This is another MAIN issue for the next term. Socialists have already imposed (though it can be even worse…) this tax in almost ALL digital memory devices JUST IN CASE you copied protected material (such as films, songs…), to pay for the “alleged” loss of benefits authors and creators have because of pirate copies. There are a lot of young people totally enraged by this mesaure because it considers any citizen as a culprit of piracy, while it’s not proved he has actually committed that crime. Secondy, because the tax is going to be payed to a private institution (SGAE – General Society of Authors and Editors), institution which has even been accused of illicit enrichment of public money (no, instead of showing all their benefits and possessions, it has criminally accused the people who was asking them to clarify certain aspects of them). Thirdly because the distribution of the benefits obtained by this tax are not going to be controlled even by Parliament. No presumption of innocence, no transparency and control: magnificent prospect.
  9. Terrorism: this has been the most important issue in the last term. It is positive that Zapatero lied to Spanish people about the negotiation process with ETA. He said it himself in an interview that “he continued the negotiation with the terrorist group after the T4 Barajas terminal“, after denying in repeated occassions he had, and his Government had called “fascists” to all the people who did not agree with him. It is probable that the negotiation continues after the elections, even after the killing of PSOE ex-councilman Isaías Carrasco. The growth of the Socialists in the Basque country with the votes of the Basque Nationalists is sufficient to consider that as a REAL possibility. A referendum about Basque independence will take place in october, at the same time as the Basque Autonomous Community’s elections.
  10. Independentism: not only Basque Country has a problem with hard-line independentists. In Catalonia,the socialists have obtained more votes thanks to the fall of Catalan Republican Left, a hardline independentist party, built upon the ashes of the terrorist group Terra Lliure, similar to ETA but which dissolved itself in the 1980s. This means the Socialists have radicalised their own positions so much that the hardline independentists are now voting for them, seeing them as much more useful for that purpose. The unilateral independence of Kosovo can be seen as a magnificent precedent for those purposes, even if the causes and the real situation of both of them differ.
  11. Economy: the crisis is near, just ahead. The building sector has already collapsed and the elections’ result can even get the people to feel more fear about the future, stopping consumption in the near future. As families consumption is the main motor of Spanish economy, the crisis can be deepened. But the oil market pushes the prices up, so instead of lowering the prices, they get higher every day, with inflation reaching heights not known in several years. The crisis has also grow the unemployment rate, even if the way to count the number of unemployed was modified in order to lower it. We have also to consider the Socialist catastrophic energy policy which considers that nuclear power MUST be ended for “ecological” reasons, making Spain even more dependant from the oil and derived products’ market. But Zapatero, instead of fighting against the worsened economic numbers, has said that “people who questioned the economy were not patriots”, a stupid statement considering he once said that “his country was Freedom”.
  12. Immigration: uncontrolled immigration is one of the worst problems here by now. An issue in which Socialists’ policy has been disastrous, after the policy of “papers for all”, which means residence papers for all, and which has consisted in the legalization of nearly 700.000 immigrants during the last term. This has produced a huge “calling effect” for immigrants, that every day arrive at Spanish coastal regions. Zapatero said that they were going to send back to his country in an interview by El Mundo newspaper this last Christmas. But this is extremelly difficult as they haven’t got any identification papers and normally the only country Spanish authorities know they have been before their arrival is Morocco. The latter denies any entry to illegal immigrants who have arrived to Spain, even if they have entered Spain from Moroccan coasts. But when Spanish authorities know where they have come from, the results are just the same disaster as ever. They have even been paid to return to their countries of origin.
  13. Education: the first bad data in Spain about education is that it has been transferred to the Autonomous Communities, which have done a real bad work, choosing instead a modern, reflexive and cultivated education to build a paradise for ideological instruction to the major glory of leftism and “progressiveness”. But the sucessive Governements have failed to provide a permanent education system, which in general terms should apply to all Autonomous Communities. Instead of that, each change of Government means another change in education laws. The worst came with Zapatero and his “Education for Citizenship” which wants students to be formed in a Zapatero’s way of Franco “National spirit”.
  14. Homosexualism: there are rumours that Zapatero wants the Parliament to pass a law against “homophobia”. As Aquiles wrote some weeks ago: This can be easily used as a clear menace for freedom of expression in Spain, and as a true weapon of Zapatero’s new police of thought to submit everyone which could not accept his idea of politics. He also would achieve to create the social desestabilization he is searching for.

I maybe forget some other things but these are the main internal problems. The international policy is inexistent, except the Alliance of Civilizations and other “imaginative” ideas, which serve only to spend huge quantities of money with no real good results.

Now for the critics to the oposition.

The mentioned leftist power on MSM is terrible for Popular Party, which is truly critisized enormously in all issues. You can read this case about immigration policy to see the huge manipulation of the statement made by Mariano Rajoy. And the comments I received from someone who accused me of not knowing the law, when later it resulted he had not read what I had written.

But, considering the difficulty, there are some things we can say about the PP’s oposition. Voters want politicians who are active in the defence of their ideas, people who are convinced about what they defend and people who are not afraid of acting as they believe it’s right.

The problem is that PP politicians are not tough enough when defending their ideas: they are absolutely linked to what “social analysts“, very bad “experts on communication” and other busybodies tell them to do. For example, a lot of young people were against the digital canon (more than a million) with a true revolution under the socialists’ noises who are firm supporters of it as they are paying the services of artists/singers and other pseudo-intelectuals, specialised in shameful and boring works of “art”, which systematically lose money which is paid by Spanish Public Budget. Well, PP has not even excluded the shameful MP Ms. Salmones from its lists who is a very stunt supporter of it, position which confronts the general of the party. And Mariano Rajoy mentioned this issue a little on the first debate and nothing on the second one.

The opposition must not only speak about ETA terrorism, an important issue but not the only one. There are a lot of issues in which it can attack Government’s decisions. But it seems they are afraid to do it, because of the pressure of the MSM and of the busibodies I referred to earkier, What they don’t get is that they are going to be hardly critisized whatever they do. Aznar precisely was not considering what the press told about him or what the polls suggested. This people are just the opposite.

But the situation can even get worse. Rajoy’s loss of the elections can mean than the most “progre”/leftist/stupid people can get to power in the PP. With all his defects, Rajoy has been someone not supportive of the most dangerous of that group: the Madrid’s Major Alberto Ruiz-Gallardón. Absolutely proud of himself and in love with power, he is very well perceived by the leftist establishment and voters (who would never vote for him anyway) as he has adopted some of the basic tenets of their commandments (for example, he was with Zapatero in the closing session of the I Forum of the Alliance of Civilizations).

So with the panorama described, what do you think is the main theme over the blogosphere? No, it’s not Zapatero, the bad economic figures or the education… NO, it’s who is going to be Rajoy’s sucessor: trolls, right-wing bloggers and unsuccessful politicians who belong to other parties (very unsucessful ones, but who, of course, are not obssessed with their own succession) are, on the other hand, all obsessed with this consideration. Oh well, and some journalists (specially one of the two) who want to convert themselves into the real influence of the center-right movement

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Geert Wilders y la Islamización de Europa

Filed under: Gran Bretaña/GB,Holanda,Islamism,Islamismo,violence,violencia — Nora @ 4:42 pm

Ya he hablado antes en este blog de Geert Wilders, el diputado liberal holandés que ha anunciado que publicará su película “Fitna” en breve. Pues bien, aquí teneis el reportaje de la película hecha para un telediario ruso (está en inglés). Entre todos los viandantes, sólo uno le da la razón. Al que se le da la razón en el reportaje es a un holandés converso al Islam que dice que los “islamófobos” (esto es, cualquiera que dude de la buena fe de muchos de los musulmanes respecto a los que no piensan igual) estamos llenos de complejos porque “tenemos poco sentido del humor” (los de la religión de “esta caricatura me insulta”, ehem…) y otro dice “la libertad de expresión es la mejor libertad que puedes tener pero debes usarla de la mejor forma”, esto es, haciendo la pelota a los que están llamando a la jihad…

Aunque claro, que podemos esperar de una noticia titulada “Humor contra miedo: Se están haciendo esfuerzos para combatir la islamofobia en Europa”.

La mejor forma de combatir la islamofobia la señala Robert Spencer en JW:

1. Focus their indignation on Muslims committing violent acts in the name of Islam, not on non-Muslims reporting on those acts.
2. Renounce definitively not just “terrorism,” but any intention to replace the U.S. Constitution (or the constitutions of any non-Muslim state) with Sharia even by peaceful means.
3. Teach Muslims the imperative of coexisting peacefully as equals with non-Muslims on an indefinite basis.
4. Begin comprehensive international programs in mosques all over the world to teach against the ideas of violent jihad and Islamic supremacism.
5. Actively work with Western law enforcement officials to identify and apprehend jihadists within Western Muslim communities
.

1. Enfocar su indignación en los musulmanes que cometan actos violentos en el nombre del Islam no en no-musulmanes que informen sobre esos actos.
2. renunciar definitivmente, no ya al terrorismo, si no a cualquier intención de reemplazar la COnstitución de los EEUU (o las constituciones de cualquier estado no musulmán) por la Sharia incluso por métodos pacíficos.
3. Enseñar a los musulmanes el imperativo de coexistir pacíficamente como iguales con los no-musulmanes de modo indefinido.
4. Comenzar programas internacionales en las mezquitas de enseñanza contra las ideas de la jihad violenta y el supremacismo islámico.
5. Trabajar activamente con los oficiales de la ley occidentales para identificar y detener a los jihadis dentro de las comunidades musulmanes occidentales
.

Y ¿qué se hace? Justo lo contrario: cuando individuos pertenecientes a una comunidad musulmana agreden a los no musulmanes no se hace nada. Es más: los oficiales de policía NIEGAN que los crímenes tengan motivación racista. ¿Qué pasa? ¿Que no la pueden tener RELIGIOSA? ¿IDEOLÓGICA? ¿La única motivación que pueden tener un crimen es el racismo? ¿Estamos tontos o qué?

Eso sí, después habrá a quienes les extrañe las amenazas de muerte al obispo anglicano que mandó que la gente “se relajara y disfrutara de la diversidad comunitaria” mientras apoyaba que la llamada de la oración por el muezzín musulmán tuviera lugar en Oxford.

Como ya dije ayer, NO creo que esa sea la mejor manera de solucionar el problema (ni siquiera creo que sea LA solución), pero si siguen demorando soluciones reales, muchos la van a ver como la única solución. Y entonces no va a valer lo del racismo y la xenofobia…. ¿Es eso lo que realmente quieren?

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Spitzer: el cazador cazado y la candidatura demócrata a la Casa Blanca (+)

Filed under: blog,EEUU,elecciones,elections,USA — Nora @ 11:21 am
Eliot Spitzer, el gobernador de Nueva York, demócrata y antiguo Fiscal de Nueva York, se ganó el respeto de muchos (sobre todo de los demócratas por sus actuaciones contra los criminales corporativos de Wall Street. Sin embargo, una vez que llegó a gobernador del Estado de Nueva York, comenzaron los problemas: suspendió a un ayudante estrella de forma indefinida. Algunas de sus medidas fueron excesivamente polémicas, como la de permitir obtener el carnet de conducir a los inmigrantes ilegales, que precisamente tuvo que abandonar por las críticas de la oposición.

Sin embargo, hubo una de sus medidas que fue muy bien recibida por las ONGs: la de ir a por los clientes de prostitutas. Para ello, hizo una ley que incrementaba especialmente la punición de los chulos y, por supuesto, de los clientes. Pues bien, el escándalo ha surgido cuando él mismo ha sido pillado in fraganti mientras iba a contratar los servicios de una prostituta de alto standing. Los dirigentes de las ONGs han manifestado su consternación porque el hombre que defendió esa legislación haya sido cogido vulnerándola… Pero es que al parecer, viene contratando los servicios de protitutas desde hace seis años a un precio de 4.500 dólares la hora.

Foes of Sex Trade Are Stung by the Fall of an Ally – New York Times

As New York’s attorney general, Eliot Spitzer had broken up prostitution rings before, but this 2004 case took on a special urgency for him. Prosecuting an international sex tourism business based in Queens, he listened to the entreaties of women’s advocates long frustrated by state laws that fell short of dealing with a sex trade expanding rapidly across borders.

And with his typical zeal, he embraced their push for new legislation, including a novel idea at its heart: Go after the men who seek out prostitutes.

It was a question of supply and demand, they all agreed. And one effective way to suppress the demand was to raise the penalties for patronizing a prostitute. In his first months as governor last year, Mr. Spitzer signed the bill into law.

Now the human rights groups, which credit him with what they call the toughest and most comprehensive anti-sex-trade law in the nation, are in shock. Mr. Spitzer stands accused of being one of the very men his law was designed to catch and punish.

“It leaves those of us who worked with his office absolutely feeling betrayed,” said Dorchen Leidholdt, director of Sanctuary for Families Legal Services, one of the leaders of the coalition that drafted the legislation.

La prostituta ha dimitido, titulan los blogs conservadores. Y es cierto: porque como anunció sus “relaciones” con Spitzer, ha anunciado que se retira temporalmente, para que la “perdonen por irse de la lengua”, aunque la realidad es bien distinta:

“It will be hard for her to spin her way out of this,” said Destinee Rizzo, editor of the trade journal Executive Concubine.”After taking on clients like that, her days as a five diamond, high-roller suite call girl are over. Frankly, with all the press coverage she’ll be lucky to get a job as a $5 truck stop lot lizard in Kentucky.”

Así que la “esperanza demócrata” ha visto cortada en seco su carrera por la misma legislación que él apoyó. O no, porque no es probable que dimita (otros piensan que lo hará mañana, “porque su carrera está acabada”), aunque puede ver desaparecidas sus posibilidades de llegar a ser candidato demócrata a la Casa Blanca, que era lo que al final se había fijado como meta, si bien, claro sin decirlo abiertamente…

Walter Olson at the National Review Online doesn’t think Spitzer is going to quit after being caught sneaking off to prostitutes while pretending to me Mr. District Attorney. “So he didn’t quit. To judge from Eliot Spitzer’s press event Monday, at which he curtly apologized for falling short on a ‘private matter’ and then said very little else before striding offstage, America’s most self-righteous elected official might even be thinking of trying to hold onto his office as governor of New York.”

Lo que es peor, sólo se irá SI “el público no está de acuerdo”. Y ¿cómo van a medir eso?

Seguro que si hubiera sido un conservador, los periódicos/informativos de medio mundo abrirían con esta noticia…

Veremos cómo afecta esto a la disputa entre Obama y Hillary. Spitzer es un superdelegado del Partido Demócrata que apoya a Hillary Clinton, pero no es seguro que vaya a perjudicar más a Hillary que a Obama. Por cierto, Obama ha ganado también en Mississippi gracias al voto afroamericano: 60,7% frente a 37,1%:

According to exit polls for the Associated Press (AP), Mr Obama won the votes of nine out of 10 black voters in the state.

The African-American community made up almost half of the Democratic electorate in the state.

Mrs Clinton won about three-quarters of the white vote, the exit polls suggest.

Muy bien… se va a decidir la votación según la raza del candidato. Claro, que Obama no ha hecho muchas propuestas que se diga y de hecho su comunicación con la prensa cuando le hacen preguntas comprometidas es bastante penosa, marcando un cambio de tendencia en el tratamiento informativo del candidato demócrata.

Por cierto, ¿qué pasaría si se aprobase una legislación semejante a la de la persecución del cliente en España? ¿Se consideraría que pillar a un político in fraganti es aplicar “dogmáticamente la Ley“?

NOTA: no me estoy metiendo en si sería buena o mala esa legislación… Creo que lo que ha pasado con Spitzer da idea de la hipocresía generalizada sobre el tema. Mientras unos se rasgan las vestiduras por la “evidente explotación de la mujer” y sin resolver los problemas que la prostitución crea para las propias prostitutas (y no, no me estoy refiriendo a las que ganan muchísimo dinero si no a las demás), otros consideran que estas medidas no van a solucionar nada. Como siempre, antes de legislar se debería examinar cuidadosamente la realidad y determinar cuál es el objetivo (si erradicar la prostitución o asegurarse de que quién la ejerce, sea considerado un trabajador más), para luego tomar las medidas oportunas, pero ¿cómo la va a examinar cuidadosamente quienes se están aprovechando de ella?

Curioso además que nadie considere la prostitución masculina o la homosexual. SI os fijais, lo que dice es que “Spitzer oyó a los defensores de la mujer”. ¿Por qué no al colectivo homosexual?

(+) Lo actualizo con lo último del IHT sobre la mujer de Spitzer:

Silda Wall Spitzer gave up a high-powered career as a corporate lawyer to raise three daughters and support her husband as he sought elective office, yet has always had deep reservations about his political career. Time and again, she has found herself in the particular bind of encouraging him during critical junctures in his public life while still holding on to some regret that he had chosen to put himself — and their family — there in the first place.


Dejó su prometedora carrera como abogado de empresa para cuidar de las tres y hijas y apoyar a su marido a pesar de que tenía profundas reservas sobre su carrera política
.

Y ahora es cuando me digo a mí misma: no es bueno generalizar…

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