Spanish Pundit (II)

diciembre 7, 2008

Irán propone hacer plantas nucleares con otros países árabes

Filed under: crisis nuclear,Francia,Iran,Rusia — Nora @ 2:55 pm

Así lo recoge Yahoo News:

Algunos países árabes han anunciado plantas para desarrollar sus propios programas nucleares civiles para generación de electricidad en los últimos años, motivados por el sentimiento que tienen de estar a la altura de Irán para frenar su creciente influencia regional.
No está claro por qué Irán hizo esta oferta, pero puede que esté intentando disminuir las preocupaciones de los vecinos.

Irán y Arabia Saudí ya tenían un principio de acuerdo para establecer un reactor nuclear.. en Suiza. Otra cosa es que no se le diera ninguna relevancia, porque en especial al rey Abdalá no le interesaba la publicidad. De hecho la visita a Suiza fue privada, no oficial.

Intenta además contrarrestar la posibilidad de que sean Francia o, sobre todo, Rusia, los que hagan este tipo de inversiones. Y de paso mermen su influencia política.

noviembre 25, 2008

¿¿100.000 soldados en la frontera sino-coreana???

Filed under: China,Corea del Norte,Corea del Sur,crisis nuclear — Nora @ 10:16 am
Chinese troops line up against North Korea

Analysts on the Asian Desk at MI6 say China’s People’s Liberation Army has moved as many as 100,000 troops to its border with North Korea, ostensibly to block refugees from fleeing into China in the event of the death of Kim Jong-II, the president of the pariah state, according to a report from Joseph Farah’s G2 Bulletin.

North Korea also has announced it will reinforce its border with South Korea after accusing its neighbor of “provocation beyond the danger level.”

The result, according to one analyst, is “the most explosive situation since the Korean War.”

Sobre la posibilidad de que China invadiera Corea del Norte, ya había hablado aquí. Lo que se intenta es poner a una comisión militar, dependiente más o menos visiblemente de China, lo que disminuiría la desestabilización en la zona producida por Kim Jong-Il.

Ahora bien, como la noticia viene, en este caso,  de WMD y a veces meten más la pata que si Zapatero fuera a un congreso de la Falange, vamos a esperar a ver si efectivamente hay más medios que publiquen esto.

Pero lo divertido aquí es que China intenta bloquear que no se fuguen los norcoreanos (que qué mal tienen que estar para intentar fugarse a China) y, a la vez, Corea del Norte acusa a Corea del Sur de “provocación por encima del nivel de peligro”. Lo que es de traca considerando que hace poco Corea del Sur anunciaba que Corea del Norte estaba construyendo una base para misiles mejor que la que tenía antes. Aunque también puede ser porque, vulgarmente hablando, les hayan pillado con el carrito del helado…

noviembre 21, 2008

Shimon Peres, esperanzado ante el posible diálogo con Irán

Filed under: crisis nuclear,Iran,Islamismo,Israel — Nora @ 1:33 pm
Así lo señala The Times:
Shimon Peres, the Israeli President who arrives in London tonight, said that his country’s most implacable foe could be brought to the negotiating table depending on a new political climate and economic factors, in particular a falling oil price.

The veteran politician, who turned 85 this summer, also told The Times that he expected Israel to achieve peace with its Arab neighbours within his life time, and even predicted that he would one day visit Damascus and Riyadh.

His upbeat message will no doubt be dismissed by many in the Middle East as the musings of a lifelong optimist. Certainly no recent Israeli leader has expressed any positive view of Iran, whose nuclear policy and support for militant groups is regarded as the major existential threat to the Jewish state.

Digamos que no estoy muy de acuerdo con él: el optimismo es sólo bueno hasta cierto punto. Ahmadine-jihad no quiere que Israel negocie: lo que quiere es que desaparezca del mapa. Y teniendo en cuenta esto aún menos querría yo diálogo…

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noviembre 19, 2008

Siria y las armas nucleares

Filed under: crisis nuclear,El Baradei,IAEA,Israel,Siria,terrorismo — Nora @ 5:14 am

Se han encontrado trazas nucleares en los restos del “edificio” que fue bombardeado por Israel el año pasado en septiembre, de modo que El Baradei (el director de la IAEA) ya ha pedido a Siria “mayor transparencia” para que se pueda determinar si efectivamente estaba construyendo un reactor nuclear secreto en ese lugar.
Teniendo en cuenta la relación con el terrorismo de Siria, esto no es ninguna broma.

junio 16, 2008

Hundreds of Taliban escape in attack on Kandahar prison: a background of the story

(post sólo en inglés: es muy largo y no me da tiempo a traducirlo. Quien no entienda inglés, puede traducirlo usando Altavista Babelfish).

Jihad Watch: Hundreds of Taliban escape in attack on Kandahar prison

Canadian soldiers joined other ISAF and Afghan national security forces in a sweeping door-to-door hunt for hundreds of escaped prisoners after the Taliban staged a daring mass breakout at Kandahar City’s Sarpoza Prison late Friday.

A suicide bomber drove up to the prison’s main entrance and detonated his vehicle at about 9:30 p.m. local time. After the massive explosion, which was heard across the city and destroyed the gate and a police checkpoint, reports say up to 30 motorcycles raced forward, carrying armed men firing rocket-propelled grenades, machine-guns and AK-47s. During the ensuing 20-minute battle in the city’s west side, hundreds of prisoners were able to flee. It was still unclear how many escaped from the prison, which houses almost 1,200 inmates, including about 400 Taliban.

A Taliban spokesman said the group is claiming responsibility. […]

One official told Reuters between 750 and 800 prisoners had managed to escape, adding some prisoners were killed in a gun battle between police and Taliban fighters inside the jail.

“I think scores of others are caught up inside,” he said, adding he suspected the gate was blown up by a suicide bomber driving a truck. Several Taliban fighters entered the prison and started freeing the inmates, he said.

I have been trying to link a magnificent post by Bill Roggio in his blog The Long War Journal about the so-called Pakistan taliban and why it’s impossible to see what is happening in Afganistan without considering the influence of Pakistan IN the Afghan situation. Even Afghan Taliban are nothing more than a copy of Pakistani Taliban, who were their ideological inspiration: Pakistan releases Taliban leader, signs peace deal with outlawed Taliban group – The Long War Journal:

Within weeks after the new central and provincial governments signaled it would revive negotiations with the Taliban in the Northwest Frontier Province and the lawless tribal areas, Pakistan has freed a senior Taliban leader jailed since 2002. After signing a six-point agreement with the Tehrik Nifaz-e-Shariah Mohammadi, the government released Sufi Mohammed, the leader of the radical Taliban group.

Sufi Mohammed is one of the most dangerous Taliban leaders in the Northwest Frontier Province. As the ideological leader of the outlawed Tehrik Nifaz-e-Shariah Mohammadi (the TNSM, or the Movement for the Implementation of Mohammad’s Sharia Law), he has close links with the Pakistani and Afghan Taliban as well as senior al Qaeda leaders.

The TNSM is known as the “Pakistani Taliban” and is the group behind the ideological inspiration for the Afghan Taliban. The TNSM sent over 10,000 fighters into Afghanistan to fight US forces during the opening stages of Operation Enduring Freedom in late 2001 and 2002. Sufi was jailed by the Pakistani government after the TNSM was banned.

After Sufi’s arrest, Faqir Mohammed assumed control of the TNSM in Sufi’s absence, and the Bajaur tribal agency became al Qaeda’s command and control hub for operations in northeastern Afghanistan. Faqir rolled the TNSM under the banner of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, or the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan, which is led by South Waziristan Taliban command Baitullah Mehsud. Faqir is second in commander of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan.

They reached an agreement to “achieve” peace, or, at least, that’s what it looked like:

The Taliban have called for the release of Sufi along with Maulana Abdul Aziz, the radical leader of the Red Mosque, and “five Afghan Taliban and the three men arrested on charges of allegedly plotting Benazir Bhutto’s assassination — Aitzaz Shah, Hussnain and Rafaqat,” the Daily Times reported. The Taliban are demanding their release in exchange for Tariq Azizuddin, Pakistan’s ambassador to Afghanistan.

And now, what is happening now? A new clash in the Pakistani-Afghan border was with the Taliban (June 12th). This clash was reported to have been caused by US, with an aerial strike which could have killed several Pakistani soldiers. But it appears the story is a little bit different as can be seen in this video filmed by an aerial drone:

The US military has released footage from a unmanned aerial vehicle detailing the controversial June 10 battle against Taliban forces right on the Afghan-Pakistani border. The US military maintains it fired at Taliban forces, while the Pakistani government continues to maintain US airstrikes targeted an outpost manned by the Frontier Corps and killed Pakistani paramilitary troops.

The US military said the clash began in Kunar province, less than 200 yards from the Pakistani border near the Garparai checkpoint. The fighting, which lasted for three hours, moved across the border as US warplanes pursued the Taliban as they retreated into Pakistan’s Mohmand tribal agency.

The video details a squad of Taliban fighters occupying a fighting position on a ridgeline right across the border from Pakistan’s Mohmand tribal agency. Coalition forces, likely a Special Forces team operating to interdict Taliban fighters crossing the border, were on a “reconnaissance mission” on the border when they took fire from the Taliban position.

(…) This year, the government signed peace deals in Swat, Bajaur, Malakand, and Mohmand. Negotiations are under way in Kohat and Mardan. The Taliban are not required to halt cross-border attacks, and Taliban leaders have stated they would continue to conduct strikes in Afghanistan. Also, in the case of the North Waziristan agreement, al Qaeda fighters are allowed to remain in the region “as long as they pledge to remain peaceful.”

The loyalty of the Pakistani security forces has also come into question. A recent study by the RAND Corporation said Pakistan security forces, particularly the paramilitary Frontier Corps, and its intelligence services are aiding the Taliban in conducting attacks inside Afghanistan.

The problem here is that the “Pakistani Frontier Corps” does not really defend the Frontier as there have been countless Taliban incursions into Aghan territory from Pakistan without the Pakistani soldiers doing really anything to prevent it:

While the governments involved sort out who fired at whom, it’s worth noting that U.S. troops fighting along the border have long contended that the Frontier Corps – an almost exclusively Pashtun tribal militia overseen by Islamabad – has been viewed as often aiding or abetting Islamic insurgents. Pakistan defends the force by saying they have suffered hundreds of casualties fighting extremists.

One U.S. veteran involved in the border fight recently told me about an ambush in which a Special Forces operator was killed. U.S. troops following a blood trail leading to a wounded attacker found he was a Frontier Guard officer carrying a map that identified multiple U.S. “hide sites” used to maintain covert surveillance of cross-border incursions.

When I visited Camp Tillman near Lwara, Afghanistan three years ago for the New York Daily News, U.S. commanders complained bitterly about a number of incidents in which Frontier Corps troops looked the other way when Al Qaeda-led insurgents ambushed U.S. troops and never warned their American counterparts of interlopers they could plainly see from their rocky outposts.

Last April, a Washington Post reporter visited the same area and was told by one soldier: “The Frontier Corps might as well be Taliban …. They are active facilitators of infiltration.”

We have also to consider the importance of the drug-trafficking in the area (specially heroin). Latest there has been several reports in which Pakistani Intelligence Services’s representatives said they were interested in funding Kahsmir jihadists (Kashmir is the frontier province which is disputed between India and Pakistan). last Jihadist ambush in the zone has caused the death to five Indian soldiers.

As Thanos linked, Afghan President Karzai has menaced with sending troops to the frontier to penetrate Pakistan and capture Taliban “fighters”, including Mullah Omar, who has been based in Pakistan since fleeing from Afghanistan in 2001. The problem with this statement is that Karzai has come to terms with Talibans in the past (or at least has tried to), and that Pakistan has nukes, a powerful point to any country before considering any attack. Baitullah Mehsud, one of the main Taliban leaders has already called to use them is case of “attack of Pakistani ennemies”.

But there is more:

An international smuggling ring that sold bomb-related parts to Libya, Iran and North Korea also managed to acquire blueprints for an advanced nuclear weapon, according to a draft report by a former top U.N. arms inspector that suggests the plans could have been shared secretly with any number of countries or rogue groups.

The drawings, discovered in 2006 on computers owned by Swiss businessmen, included essential details for building a compact nuclear device that could be fitted on a type of ballistic missile used by Iran and more than a dozen developing countries, the report states.

(…) The A.Q. Khan smuggling ring was previously known to have provided Libya with design information for a nuclear bomb. But the blueprints found in 2006 are far more troubling, Albright said in his report. While Libya was given plans for an older and relatively unsophisticated weapon that was bulky and difficult to deliver, the newly discovered blueprints offered instructions for building a compact device, the report said. The lethality of such a bomb would be little enhanced, but its smaller size might allow for delivery by ballistic missile.

(…) “These would have been ideal for two of Khan’s other major customers, Iran and North Korea,” wrote Albright, now president of the Washington-based Institute for Science and International Security. “They both faced struggles in building a nuclear warhead small enough to fit atop their ballistic missiles, and these designs were for a warhead that would fit.”

(…) The Pakistani government did not rebut the findings in the report but said it had cooperated extensively with U.N. investigators.

Hmm, what about selling them to Al-Qaeda? Or the Taliban? Or Hizbullah, using Iran as an intermediary?

In the meantime, Pakistan has already protested to Afghan envoy. Pakistani Foreign Minister Mehmood Qureshi has made it absolutely clear that “his country would defend its territorial sovereignty“.

Meanwhile, former Pakistani PM, Sharif (now the leader of the smallest of the political parties in the governing coalition), is asking Musharraf to resign and to be held accountable for passed deeds. In a demonstration he asked for Musharraf to be hanged.

Hundreds of Taliban escape in attack on Kandahar prison: a background of the story

(post sólo en inglés: es muy largo y no me da tiempo a traducirlo. Quien no entienda inglés, puede traducirlo usando Altavista Babelfish).

Jihad Watch: Hundreds of Taliban escape in attack on Kandahar prison

Canadian soldiers joined other ISAF and Afghan national security forces in a sweeping door-to-door hunt for hundreds of escaped prisoners after the Taliban staged a daring mass breakout at Kandahar City’s Sarpoza Prison late Friday.

A suicide bomber drove up to the prison’s main entrance and detonated his vehicle at about 9:30 p.m. local time. After the massive explosion, which was heard across the city and destroyed the gate and a police checkpoint, reports say up to 30 motorcycles raced forward, carrying armed men firing rocket-propelled grenades, machine-guns and AK-47s. During the ensuing 20-minute battle in the city’s west side, hundreds of prisoners were able to flee. It was still unclear how many escaped from the prison, which houses almost 1,200 inmates, including about 400 Taliban.

A Taliban spokesman said the group is claiming responsibility. […]

One official told Reuters between 750 and 800 prisoners had managed to escape, adding some prisoners were killed in a gun battle between police and Taliban fighters inside the jail.

“I think scores of others are caught up inside,” he said, adding he suspected the gate was blown up by a suicide bomber driving a truck. Several Taliban fighters entered the prison and started freeing the inmates, he said.

I have been trying to link a magnificent post by Bill Roggio in his blog The Long War Journal about the so-called Pakistan taliban and why it’s impossible to see what is happening in Afganistan without considering the influence of Pakistan IN the Afghan situation. Even Afghan Taliban are nothing more than a copy of Pakistani Taliban, who were their ideological inspiration: Pakistan releases Taliban leader, signs peace deal with outlawed Taliban group – The Long War Journal:

Within weeks after the new central and provincial governments signaled it would revive negotiations with the Taliban in the Northwest Frontier Province and the lawless tribal areas, Pakistan has freed a senior Taliban leader jailed since 2002. After signing a six-point agreement with the Tehrik Nifaz-e-Shariah Mohammadi, the government released Sufi Mohammed, the leader of the radical Taliban group.

Sufi Mohammed is one of the most dangerous Taliban leaders in the Northwest Frontier Province. As the ideological leader of the outlawed Tehrik Nifaz-e-Shariah Mohammadi (the TNSM, or the Movement for the Implementation of Mohammad’s Sharia Law), he has close links with the Pakistani and Afghan Taliban as well as senior al Qaeda leaders.

The TNSM is known as the “Pakistani Taliban” and is the group behind the ideological inspiration for the Afghan Taliban. The TNSM sent over 10,000 fighters into Afghanistan to fight US forces during the opening stages of Operation Enduring Freedom in late 2001 and 2002. Sufi was jailed by the Pakistani government after the TNSM was banned.

After Sufi’s arrest, Faqir Mohammed assumed control of the TNSM in Sufi’s absence, and the Bajaur tribal agency became al Qaeda’s command and control hub for operations in northeastern Afghanistan. Faqir rolled the TNSM under the banner of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, or the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan, which is led by South Waziristan Taliban command Baitullah Mehsud. Faqir is second in commander of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan.

They reached an agreement to “achieve” peace, or, at least, that’s what it looked like:

The Taliban have called for the release of Sufi along with Maulana Abdul Aziz, the radical leader of the Red Mosque, and “five Afghan Taliban and the three men arrested on charges of allegedly plotting Benazir Bhutto’s assassination — Aitzaz Shah, Hussnain and Rafaqat,” the Daily Times reported. The Taliban are demanding their release in exchange for Tariq Azizuddin, Pakistan’s ambassador to Afghanistan.

And now, what is happening now? A new clash in the Pakistani-Afghan border was with the Taliban (June 12th). This clash was reported to have been caused by US, with an aerial strike which could have killed several Pakistani soldiers. But it appears the story is a little bit different as can be seen in this video filmed by an aerial drone:

The US military has released footage from a unmanned aerial vehicle detailing the controversial June 10 battle against Taliban forces right on the Afghan-Pakistani border. The US military maintains it fired at Taliban forces, while the Pakistani government continues to maintain US airstrikes targeted an outpost manned by the Frontier Corps and killed Pakistani paramilitary troops.

The US military said the clash began in Kunar province, less than 200 yards from the Pakistani border near the Garparai checkpoint. The fighting, which lasted for three hours, moved across the border as US warplanes pursued the Taliban as they retreated into Pakistan’s Mohmand tribal agency.

The video details a squad of Taliban fighters occupying a fighting position on a ridgeline right across the border from Pakistan’s Mohmand tribal agency. Coalition forces, likely a Special Forces team operating to interdict Taliban fighters crossing the border, were on a “reconnaissance mission” on the border when they took fire from the Taliban position.

(…) This year, the government signed peace deals in Swat, Bajaur, Malakand, and Mohmand. Negotiations are under way in Kohat and Mardan. The Taliban are not required to halt cross-border attacks, and Taliban leaders have stated they would continue to conduct strikes in Afghanistan. Also, in the case of the North Waziristan agreement, al Qaeda fighters are allowed to remain in the region “as long as they pledge to remain peaceful.”

The loyalty of the Pakistani security forces has also come into question. A recent study by the RAND Corporation said Pakistan security forces, particularly the paramilitary Frontier Corps, and its intelligence services are aiding the Taliban in conducting attacks inside Afghanistan.

The problem here is that the “Pakistani Frontier Corps” does not really defend the Frontier as there have been countless Taliban incursions into Aghan territory from Pakistan without the Pakistani soldiers doing really anything to prevent it:

While the governments involved sort out who fired at whom, it’s worth noting that U.S. troops fighting along the border have long contended that the Frontier Corps – an almost exclusively Pashtun tribal militia overseen by Islamabad – has been viewed as often aiding or abetting Islamic insurgents. Pakistan defends the force by saying they have suffered hundreds of casualties fighting extremists.

One U.S. veteran involved in the border fight recently told me about an ambush in which a Special Forces operator was killed. U.S. troops following a blood trail leading to a wounded attacker found he was a Frontier Guard officer carrying a map that identified multiple U.S. “hide sites” used to maintain covert surveillance of cross-border incursions.

When I visited Camp Tillman near Lwara, Afghanistan three years ago for the New York Daily News, U.S. commanders complained bitterly about a number of incidents in which Frontier Corps troops looked the other way when Al Qaeda-led insurgents ambushed U.S. troops and never warned their American counterparts of interlopers they could plainly see from their rocky outposts.

Last April, a Washington Post reporter visited the same area and was told by one soldier: “The Frontier Corps might as well be Taliban …. They are active facilitators of infiltration.”

We have also to consider the importance of the drug-trafficking in the area (specially heroin). Latest there has been several reports in which Pakistani Intelligence Services’s representatives said they were interested in funding Kahsmir jihadists (Kashmir is the frontier province which is disputed between India and Pakistan). last Jihadist ambush in the zone has killed five Indian soldiers.

As Thanos linked, Afghan President Karzai has menaced with sending troops to the frontier to penetrate Pakistan and capture Taliban “fighters”, including Mullah Omar, who has been based in Pakistan since fleeing from Afghanistan in 2001. The problem with this statement is that Karzai has come to terms with Talibans in the past (or at least has tried to), and that Pakistan has nukes, a powerful point to any country before considering any attack. Baitullah Mehsud, one of the main Taliban leaders has already called to use them is case of “attack of Pakistani ennemies”.

But there is more:

An international smuggling ring that sold bomb-related parts to Libya, Iran and North Korea also managed to acquire blueprints for an advanced nuclear weapon, according to a draft report by a former top U.N. arms inspector that suggests the plans could have been shared secretly with any number of countries or rogue groups.

The drawings, discovered in 2006 on computers owned by Swiss businessmen, included essential details for building a compact nuclear device that could be fitted on a type of ballistic missile used by Iran and more than a dozen developing countries, the report states.

(…) The A.Q. Khan smuggling ring was previously known to have provided Libya with design information for a nuclear bomb. But the blueprints found in 2006 are far more troubling, Albright said in his report. While Libya was given plans for an older and relatively unsophisticated weapon that was bulky and difficult to deliver, the newly discovered blueprints offered instructions for building a compact device, the report said. The lethality of such a bomb would be little enhanced, but its smaller size might allow for delivery by ballistic missile.

(…) “These would have been ideal for two of Khan’s other major customers, Iran and North Korea,” wrote Albright, now president of the Washington-based Institute for Science and International Security. “They both faced struggles in building a nuclear warhead small enough to fit atop their ballistic missiles, and these designs were for a warhead that would fit.”

(…) The Pakistani government did not rebut the findings in the report but said it had cooperated extensively with U.N. investigators.

Hmm, what about selling them to Al-Qaeda? Or the Taliban? Or Kashmir Talibans? Or Hizbullah, using Iran as an intermediary?

In the meantime, Pakistan has already protested to Afghan envoy. Pakistani Foreign Minister Mehmood Qureshi has made it absolutely clear that “his country would defend its territorial sovereignty“.

To complicate even more the situation, former Pakistani PM, Sharif (now the leader of the smallest party in the governing coalition), is asking Musharraf to resign and to be held accountable for passed deeds. In a demonstration he asked for Musharraf to be hanged.

marzo 4, 2008

Adivinen qué país ha vuelto a incrementar un 18% su presupuesto de defensa

exactamente igual que el año pasado, según la BBC.

BBC NEWS | Asia-Pacific | China to raise military spending

China has been accused of secrecy over its military budget China says it plans to increase military spending by nearly 18% this year, to 417.8bn yuan ($59bn; £30bn). The figure was revealed ahead of China’s annual parliamentary session, which begins on Wednesday. Just before the announcement, the US released a report criticising China’s military spending, and voicing concern over advances in space and cyberspace (oh, yeah, those damned Chinese hackers… denied by Chinese Government who operate from its own servers to enter Pentagon computers…).China rejected the Pentagon report (ooh, who could have imagined this??? 😛 )as a “serious distortion of facts” that could harm its relations with the US. “It breaks international norms… We do not pose a threat to any country (Not even to Taiwan…). The US should drop its Cold War mentality,” the foreign ministry said in a statement. In the report, Washington claimed that the real Chinese defence budget for 2007 was at least double the stated amount. And other nations have also expressed concern about China’s growing military power, and say Beijing is not open enough about what it is spending its money on.

China ha sido acusada de secreto sobre su presupuesto militar y ha dicho que planea incrementar el presupuesto de defensa un 18% este año a 417,8 millardos de yuans (59 millardos de dólares). La cifra fue revelada antes de la sesión anual del “Parlamento” chino, que comienza el miércoles. Justo después del anuncio, EEUU sacó un informe criticando el aumento de presupuesto de defensa chino y señalando las preocupaciones sobre sus avances en el espacio y en el ciberespacio (donde, no es por nada, pero se ha dedicado a hackear de lo lindo… los ordenadores del Pentágono).

China rechazó el informe (noooo, fíjate, que no me lo esperaba) como una “seria distorsión de los hechos” que podría dañar las relaciones con EEUU. “Rompe las normas internacionales… No somos una amenaza para ningún país (ni siquiera para Taiwan…). Los EEUU deben dejar su mentalidad de Guerra Fría“, dijo el ministerio de exteriores en una declaración. En el informe, Washington decía que el presupuesto de defensa chino real era al menos el doble que la cantidad señalada . Y otras naciones se han mostrado preocupadas por el poder militar chino, creciente, y dicen que Pekín no está lo suficientemente abierto para saber a qué está destinando su dinero.

Más información:

Report: China trying to crack US computers, buy nukes – CNN International



CNN International

Report: China trying to crack US computers, buy nukes
CNN International – 41 minutes ago
WASHINGTON (CNN) — The Chinese military continues to increase spending on efforts to break into US military computer systems, expand its Navy, and invest in intercontinental nuclear missiles and weapons to destroy satellites, according to the latest
China‘s Army Builds for Reach Past Taiwan, US Says (Update2) Bloomberg
US report says China continues to strengthen military opposite International Herald Tribune
Voice of AmericaThe Associated PressWashington Times
all 226 news articles

China está tratando de penetrar en los ordenadores USA y de comprar más armas nuclearesEl Ejército chino continúa el incremento en el gasto militar con esfuerzos para pentrar en los sistemas electrónicos militares de EEUU, aumentar su Armada e invertir en misiles nucleares intercontinentales y armas para destruir satélites (¿¿¿de comunicaciones???), según el último informe de EEUU sobre China.

Ed Morrisey escribe en HotAir:

The US believes that the both the low estimate and high estimate of actual spending would make China far and away the biggest spender in the region, dwarfing the budgets of Russia and Japan, and perhaps surpassing them in combination. The data on this is murky, but China has shown progress in modernizing some very expensive systems:
  • Land- and sea-based nuclear missiles
  • Domestic production of short- and medium-range ballistic missiles
  • Advanced submarines and their systems, in both attack and “boomer” types
  • Purchases of advanced Russian aircraft
  • Air defense systems, especially long-range mobile systems
  • A series of advanced Russian surface-fleet ships of all kinds

So what are the Chinese up to? No one at the Pentagon can quite figure it out. Their modernization appears focused on air defense and their navy, both in surface and submarine systems. They have improved these systems rapidly over the last four years. That seems to indicate more of a defense than an offense, but the naval systems directly threaten American strength, especially in the Pacific.

Los EEUU consideran que tanto la estimación baja como la más alta convertirán a China con mucho en el máximo inversor en armas, quedando enanos los presupuestos de Rusia y Japón, e inclusive superándolos si los sumamos. Los datos en esto no son claros pero China ha mostrado progreso en modernizar varios sistemas muy caros:

  • Misiles nucleares con base en el mar y en tierra.
  • Producción doméstica de misiles balísticos de corto y medio alcance,
  • Submarinos avanzados y sus sistemas, tanto en ataque como en sistema boomer.
  • Compras de aviones avanzados rusos.
  • Sistemas de defensa aéreos, especialmente sistemas móviles de largo alcance.
  • Un serie de barcos rusos de superficie de todas clases

Así que, ¿qué pretenden los chinos? Nadie en el Pentágono lo sabe. Su modernización parece estar enfocada a la defensa aérea y a la armada, tanto en sistemas de superficie como submarinos. Han mejorado sus sistemas rápidamente durante los últimos cuatro años. Esto parece indicar más gasto defensivo que ofensivo, pero sus sistemas navales amenazan directamente la fuerza americana, especialmente en el Pacífico.

No, pero China no es un peligro… los chinos son bueeeeeeeeeenos y no pasan armas a naaaaaaaaaaadie… ni siquiera a los islamistas, comunistas, socialistas del siglo XXI… no… esas armas contribuyen a la paaaaaazzzzzzzzz mundial….

Por cierto, que el listo de Obama, ese que tiene un primo comunista-islamista, al que ha apoyado con todas sus fuerzas, y que va por ahí vestido de “somalí” musulmán, está en su momento “evax fina y segura” y ha dicho que si llega a ser presidente, suprimirá la guerra de las galaxias (es decir, la guerra en el espacio, esa que está investigando China), suprimirá gasto en mejorar los sistemas de misiles y parará el desarrollo de sistemas de combate, pero formando un Comité “independiente” de Prioridades de Defensa para “asegurarse de que no se malgasta el dinero de forma inútil” en un vídeo h/t Stop The Aclu:

Adivinen todas las adhesiones mundiales al proyecto de Obama: creo que los chinos, rusos y todos los islámicos (incluido el querido Agggmi) están haciendo ofrendas a ver si gana…

(Por cierto, me parece perfecto que se corten los gastos inútiles, pero viendo cómo está el patio, sólo si los demás piensan que les puedes hacer pupita no te atacarán. Con este tipo de declaraciones, lo único que hace es dar aliento a los anti-occidentales para desarrollar sistemas de defensa mucho más avanzados… y ya sabemos el peligro que tiene eso…).

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Adivinen quién va a aumentar un 18% su presupuesto de Defensa

Filed under: China,crisis nuclear,EEUU,Mentecatos,USA — Nora @ 10:34 am

exactamente igual que el año pasado, según la BBC.

BBC NEWS | Asia-Pacific | China to raise military spending

China has been accused of secrecy over its military budget China says it plans to increase military spending by nearly 18% this year, to 417.8bn yuan ($59bn; £30bn). The figure was revealed ahead of China’s annual parliamentary session, which begins on Wednesday. Just before the announcement, the US released a report criticising China’s military spending, and voicing concern over advances in space and cyberspace (oh, yeah, those damned Chinese hackers… denied by Chinese Government who operate from its own servers to enter Pentagon computers…).

China rejected the Pentagon report (ooh, who could have said this???)as a “serious distortion of facts” that could harm its relations with the US. “It breaks international norms… We do not pose a threat to any country (Not even to Taiwan…). The US should drop its Cold War mentality,” the foreign ministry said in a statement. In the report, Washington claimed that the real Chinese defence budget for 2007 was at least double the stated amount. And other nations have also expressed concern about China’s growing military power, and say Beijing is not open enough about what it is spending its money on.

China ha sido acusada de secreto sobre su presupuesto militar y ha dicho que planea incrementar el presupuesto de defensa un 18% este año a 417,8 millardos de yuans (59 millardos de dólares). La cifra fue revelada antes de la sesión anual del “Parlamento” chino, que comienza el miércoles. Justo después del anuncio, EEUU sacó un informe criticando el aumento de presupuesto de defensa chino y señalando las preocupaciones sobre sus avances en el espacio y en el ciberespacio (donde, no es por nada, pero se ha dedicado a hackear de lo lindo… los ordenadores del Pentágono).

China rechazó el informe (noooo, fíjate, que no me lo esperaba) como una “seria distorsión de los hechos” que podría dañar las relaciones con EEUU. “Rompe las normas internacionales… No somos una amenaza para ningún país (ni siquiera para Taiwan…). Los EEUU deben dejar su mentalidad de Guerra Fría“, dijo el ministerio de exteriores en una declaración. En el informe, Washington decía que el presupuesto de defensa chino real era al menos el doble que la cantidad señalada . Y otras naciones se han mostrado preocupadas por el poder militar chino, creciente, y dicen que Pekín no está lo suficientemente abierto para saber a qué está destinando su dinero.

Más información:

Report: China trying to crack US computers, buy nukes – CNN International


CNN International

Report: China trying to crack US computers, buy nukes
CNN International – 41 minutes ago
WASHINGTON (CNN) — The Chinese military continues to increase spending on efforts to break into US military computer systems, expand its Navy, and invest in intercontinental nuclear missiles and weapons to destroy satellites, according to the latest
China‘s Army Builds for Reach Past Taiwan, US Says (Update2) Bloomberg
US report says China continues to strengthen military opposite International Herald Tribune
Voice of AmericaThe Associated PressWashington Times
all 226 news articles

China está tratando de penetrar en los ordenadores USA y de comprar más armas nuclearesEl Ejército chino continúa el incremento en el gasto militar con esfuerzos para pentrar en los sistemas electrónicos militares de EEUU, aumentar su Armada e invertir en misiles nucleares intercontinentales y armas para destruir satélites (¿¿¿de comunicaciones???), según el último informe de EEUU sobre China.

Ed Morrisey escribe en HotAir:

The US believes that the both the low estimate and high estimate of actual spending would make China far and away the biggest spender in the region, dwarfing the budgets of Russia and Japan, and perhaps surpassing them in combination. The data on this is murky, but China has shown progress in modernizing some very expensive systems:
  • Land- and sea-based nuclear missiles
  • Domestic production of short- and medium-range ballistic missiles
  • Advanced submarines and their systems, in both attack and “boomer” types
  • Purchases of advanced Russian aircraft
  • Air defense systems, especially long-range mobile systems
  • A series of advanced Russian surface-fleet ships of all kinds

So what are the Chinese up to? No one at the Pentagon can quite figure it out. Their modernization appears focused on air defense and their navy, both in surface and submarine systems. They have improved these systems rapidly over the last four years. That seems to indicate more of a defense than an offense, but the naval systems directly threaten American strength, especially in the Pacific.

Los EEUU consideran que tanto la estimación baja como la más alta convertirán a China con mucho en el máximo inversor en armas, quedando enanos los presupuestos de Rusia y Japón, e inclusive superándolos si los sumamos. Los datos en esto no son claros pero China ha mostrado progreso en modernizar varios sistemas muy caros:

  • Misiles nucleares con base en el mar y en tierra.
  • Producción doméstica de misiles balísticos de corto y medio alcance,
  • Submarinos avanzados y sus sistemas, tanto en ataque como en sistema boomer.
  • Compras de aviones avanzados rusos.
  • Sistemas de defensa aéreos, especialmente sistemas móviles de largo alcance.
  • Un serie de barcos rusos de superficie de todas clases

Así que, ¿qué pretenden los chinos? Nadie en el Pentágono lo sabe. Su modernización parece estar enfocada a la defensa aérea y a la armada, tanto en sistemas de superficie como submarinos. Han mejorado sus sistemas rápidamente durante los últimos cuatro años. Esto parece indicar más gasto defensivo que ofensivo, pero sus sistemas navales amenazan directamente la fuerza americana, especialmente en el Pacífico.

No, pero China no es un peligro… los chinos son bueeeeeeeeeenos y no pasan armas a naaaaaaaaaaadie… ni siquiera a los islamistas, comunistas, socialistas del siglo XXI… no… esas armas contribuyen a la paaaaaazzzzzzzzz mundial….

Por cierto, que el listo de Obama, ese que tiene un primo comunista-islamista, al que ha apoyado con todas sus fuerzas, y que va por ahí vestido de “somalí” musulmán, está en su momento “evax fina y segura” y ha dicho que si llega a ser presidente, suprimirá la guerra de las galaxias (es decir, la guerra en el espacio, esa que está investigando China), suprimirá gasto en mejorar los sistemas de misiles y parará el desarrollo de sistemas de combate, pero formando un Comité “independiente” de Prioridades de Defensa para “asegurarse de que no se malgasta el dinero de forma inútil” en un vídeo h/t Stop The Aclu:

Adivinen todas las adhesiones mundiales al proyecto de Obama: creo que los chinos, rusos y todos los islámicos (incluido el querido Agggmi) están haciendo ofrendas a ver si gana…

(Por cierto, me parece perfecto que se corten los gastos inútiles, pero viendo cómo está el patio, sólo si los demás piensan que les puedes hacer pupita no te atacarán. Con este tipo de declaraciones, lo único que hace es dar aliento a los anti-occidentales para desarrollar sistemas de defensa mucho más avanzados… y ya sabemos el peligro que tiene eso…).

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enero 27, 2008

Corea del Norte: ¿Se prepara China para invadirla si el régimen se hunde?

Filed under: China,crisis nuclear,EEUU,North Korea,UN — Nora @ 9:57 am
Cuando lo leí ayer en Foreign Policy Blog, tengo que decir que no me sorprendí mucho. Sería un paso más en la conquista de la costa del Pacífico, ya que como ya expliqué aquí, la parte rusa está bajo su influencia gracias a la masiva inmigración china en el área. Por supuesto, quién llevaría la peor parte sería Corea del Sur, que se encontraría con China (y no con Kim, que es una sucursal china pero no es lo mismo) en el patio trasero de su casa. Por supuesto, China no dice que vaya a conquistar Corea del Norte, simplemente señala que lo hará para evitar que los refugiados armados coreanos entren por la frontera noreste china. ¿Por qué? Considerando que Corea del Norte es un país con armas nucleares, biológicas y convencionales y que tiene un millón de soldados, es probable suponer que, junto a los refugiados de la población, bastantes militares querrían entrar en China.
Y añade que lo hará también para proteger las armas nucleares norcoreanas. La pregunta que esto me suscita es: ¿a las armas nucleares norcoreanas o a su productor? Porque considerando que China ha provisto de armas a un buen número de países del Tercer Mundo, ¿por qué no hacerlo con su amigo y aliado norcoreano?
Hasta ahora el trato de China para con los refugiados ha sido vergonzoso (aunque parece haber cambiado con los JJOO… hasta que estos se terminen, porque las ideas que sustentan la política no han cambiado): los manda de vuelta a Corea del Norte, sabiendo que los propios guardias de frontera los van a matar o, si no, los van a destinar a los “caritativos” campos de concentración norcoreanos.

Security specialists of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army have been discussing the possibility of sending troops to North Korea should the present regime of Kim Jong Il collapse, to prevent armed refugees from entering the northeastern part of China, sources close to China-North Korea relations revealed Monday.

China fears that, in addition to ordinary North Korean refugees, armed members of the country’s military and security forces might also become refugees, entering the border area in the northeastern region in China. Chinese troops sent to North Korea would help maintain security and safeguard the country’s nuclear facilities.

According to the sources, China considers the situation in North Korea to be stable for the time being, but is hastily formulating emergency measures to cope with unexpected circumstances nonetheless.

As we can see this is a worrying development, considering the expansive policy of China towards the Pacific. South Korea will meet, if this thing happens, China in its back garden. Even if this is only a rumour, we can understand that China would not make that preparations if Chinese strategists were not convinced it was a possible development. And China is making these preparations on its own, unilaterally. I expect a lot of “Not more unilateral interventions” and so on from pacifist people on next months… Eeeh, yeah, I know, I know…

But they have also based the intervention in protecting the North Korean nuclear weapons. Protecting the NK nuclear weapons or its producer? Because considering that China has sold weapons to a lot of Third World countries, why they couldn’t sell NK the nuclear weapon they fired last year? After that, there was a succesful trip between the two Koreas and the beginning of a new relationship.

Las cosas no andan bien en Corea del Norte realmente: North Korea to shut embassy in Australia @ Yahoo News:

North Korea will close its embassy in Australia because it can no longer afford it, an official said Tuesday.
The high cost of recent severe flooding in the communist nation was the main reason for the closure, said diplomat Pak Myong Guk, currently North Korea’s most senior representative in Australia.
“When our financial situation is … resolved, then I think our embassy will be re-established again here in Canberra,” Pak said, referring to Australia’s capital city.

Según Corea del Norte, las inundaciones que han tenido lugar hace poco, han hecho que no tengan dinero suficiente para mantener su embajada en Australia.

The Belmont Club precisamente reflexiona sobre la posibilidad de que el régimen de Kim se extinga por su propios problemas internos. Y da un detalle bastante revelador:

Tellingly, the ‘Dear Leader’ is in the process of moving financial resources to ensure that his assets are portable should he have to go into exile, according to some sources.” Kim, who amended the North Korean constitution in 1996 to declare himself “president for eternity” is estimated by the CIA to have “$5 billion in Swiss bank accounts, six villas in Europe, one in Russia and one in China”.

El “Querido Líder” está moviendo recursos financieros para asegurarse de que su patrimonio puede transportarse en caso de que tenga que irse al exilio, según algunas fuentes. Kim, quien modificó la Constitución de NK en 1996 para declararse “presidente por la eternidad” tiene, según estimaciones de la CIA, “cinco billones de dólares en cuentas en Suiza, seis villas en Europa, una en Rusia y otra en China“.

Hmm, Suiza: Heidi y el abuelo, el chocolate Milka, cuentas de Kim, Castro, el 99% de los líderes islámicos, Chávez y de Osama… qué bucólico ¿no?

A esto se une el enésimo incumplimiento de la moratoria nuclear por parte de Corea del Norea:

With North Korea sending signals that it may be trying to wait out Mr. Bush’s time in office before making any more concessions, administration officials are grappling with how the United States should react. The debate has fractured along familiar lines, with a handful of national security hawks in Vice President Dick Cheney’s office and at the State Department arguing for a more confrontational approach with Pyongyang. [Helene Cooper, N.Y. Times]

The reason to this new infringement is that, if a Democrat wins the White House this year, NK will have much less difficulties in continuing its nuclear program. So they are just waiting… they are not disabling ANY of the nuclear facilities nor any of their parts. What is more: there is Syria yet to consider:

The big new reactors are being watched by the IAEA, but they’re not being dismantled or demolished. North Korea hasn’t accounted for the nuclear materials needed to make those facilities operable. For all we know, they’re under a pile of sand in Syria. Let’s not pretend we’re any safer. We aren’t.

Conservative opposition gained strength from four key developments: the Syria revelations; North Korea accidentally sending us a sample of the enriched uranium it denied having; the passage of the December 31st deadline; and Chris Hill getting caught in a lie after denying that North Korea had offered a false declaration last November. As a result, several very bad ideas have waned. North Korea can probably forget about being taken off the terror-sponsor list. We can probably also forget about Secretary Rice visiting Pyongyang. The probability of ferocious opposition made it impossible for Chris Hill to accept a patently false North Korean nuclear declaration in November.

La oposición conservadora ganó en fuerza por cuatro importantísimos descubrimientos: las revelaciones de Siria; el que Corea del Norte nos mandara accidentalmente una muestra del uranio enriquecido que niega tener; el que hayamos pasado el día 31 de diciembre que era la fecha tope del acuerdo nuclear; y Chris Hill (negociador USA en las conversaciones sobre Corea del Norte) cogido en una mentira cuando negó que Corea del Norte hubiera ofrecido una declaración falsa el pasado noviembre. Como resultado, algunas muy malas ideas han desaparecido. NK puede olvidarse de que se la excluya de la lista de Estados patrocinadores del terrorismo. Y también de la visita que iba a hacer la Secretaria de Estado Rice a Pyongyang. La probabilidad de una oposición fiera hizo imposible para Chris Hill que se aceptase la patentemente falsa declaración nuclear de NK en Noviembre.

Cuando escribí sobre la cuestión en septiembre pasado, yo también era muy escéptica ante la posibilidad de que Kim cumpliera con los plazos. Pero como dejé escrito en ese post, más que el hecho en sí de que Corea del Norte este mal o bien, es sin duda la postura china lo preocupante. Y de Siria. Como dice ROK Drop:

The seizing of nuclear material by Israeli commandoes would explain the muted reaction by Syria to being bombed by Israel.� The typical ploy after a bombing strike such as this is to claim a wedding party was bombed and to roll out a few corpses from the morgue for the eager international media to bash Israel with.� Syria did none of this because Israel must have obtained something extremely sensitive in order to receive such a muted reaction from the Syrians and the world community at large. [La pregunta por tanto sería: ¿qué obtuvo Israel de ese bombardeo y por qué no se ha dicho? Sería muy interesante comprobar, además, quién lo produjo…]
[…] Whatever was raided three weeks ago I think the odds are pretty good that if it wasn’t nuclear material taken as evidence then it was some kind of other WMD program that was raided instead. What is clear is that the ambiguity the US and Israel have been keeping with this story is being used to maximize negotiating leverage against Syria and North Korea. I’m sure Israel would use the leverage to get Syria to stop sending arms to Hezbollah while the US would want Syria to quit funneling foreign jihadis into Iraq [but nothing like that has happened… so how are they employing the information?]. In regards to North Korea the US is going to want to maintain the illusion of “progress” with the six party talks as much as possible. Despite all the ambiguity one thing that is clear is that however this whole issue unfolds it is going to be interesting.

Pero no parece ni que Siria haya dejado de mandar refuerzos a Hizbulá ni tampoco que haya dejado de ser la principal vía de entrada de Jihadis en Irak. Tampoco hay ya ninguna ilusión de “éxito” en las conversaciones con Kim, porque ya ha vuelto a incumplir los plazos. De modo que: la cuestión persiste: ¿qué se encontró y cómo se está tratando la información?

Lo mejor es que Kim dice que es Bush quien ha incumplido.

North Korea accused the United States on Tuesday of failing to meet its commitments toward the communist nation, blaming Washington for the slow progress in a nuclear disarmament deal.

POr si todo lo anterior no fuera poco, resulta que puede haber otro escándalo económico en relación a la cooperación con Corea de Norte:

A UN agency operating in North Korea left itself open to exploitation, a US Senate investigation has found.

A Senate committee criticised the United Nations Development Programme for inappropriate staffing decisions and lax financial controls.

The probe followed US claims North Korea was siphoning off UNDP money.

A UN probe last year found that although rules had been broken, there was no evidence of systematic diversion of funds to North Korean officials.

Y seguro que parte del dinero ha ido a las cuentas suizas del Querido Líder… 😉 eso sí, sin pruebas de desvío sistemático de fondos. O sea que sí ha habido desvío de fondos, aunque sólo ocasional. Ehh, ¿de cuánto dinero?

Dentro de 25 años, sabremos a cuánto asciende este desvío no sistemático de fondos, quién se ha enriquecido y hasta qué punto es culpable la cúpula de la ONU, ehh, sí, Koffi Annan y el actual UNSC, Ban Ki Moon, que con tal de que Kim no se enfade, se inventó la teoría del appeasement frente a Corea del Norte. El actual gobierno conservador (recientemente elegido) de Corea del Sur no parece estar en la misma línea de Ki-Moon.

Será casualidad y todo…

diciembre 11, 2007

Y Putin eligió a su sucesor

EldiarioExterior.com

El presidente ruso, Vladimir Putin, ha expresado su apoyo para que el viceprimer ministro, Dmitri Medvédev, presente su candidatura a las elecciones presidenciales del próximo 2 de marzo.

Putin declaró este apoyo en una reunión con representantes del partido Rusia Unida, cuya lista encabezó en las elecciones parlamentarias del 2 de diciembre, y de otros tres partidos.

Las formaciones expresaron a Putin su apoyo a Medvédev.

Se acabó la especulación

En los últimos meses se ha estado especulando con quién sería el sucesor de Putin, ya que el presidente no puede optar por ley a un tercer mandato.

Se preveía que eligiera entre Medvédev, abogado y presidente de la junta del gigante gasístico estatal Gazprom, y Sergei Ivanov, otro viceprimer ministro y que previamente fue ministro de Defensa.

Sobre Medvedev, leed Un tecnócrata a imagen y semejanza de Putin @ ABC.es.

Notes on Russian democracy: Assessing the recent Duma elections @ The Moderate Voice.

First, and most obviously, this was a huge blow for Russian democrats. Putin’s party, United Russia, pulled in over 60% of the vote and they now hold 2/3rds of the seats in parliament, enough to override the objections of all other dissenting parties. The only significant opposition party that got over the 7% threshold was the Communist party, which is not considered to be a major threat (nor a strong proponent of democracy). The more moderate Yabloko party and the Union of Right Forces — which have presented the most organized opposition to Putin’s agenda — were both kicked out of the Duma entirely.

En España no se ha hablado mucho de la explosión que tuvo lugar en Rusia el pasado domingo que mató a dos personas. Sin embargo, las autoridades no han dicho absolutamente nada de las causas del siniestro: puede ser un acto terrorista o puede ser que haya explotado una bombona de gas:

Interfax quoted an unnamed source in the security services in the Stavropol region as saying the explosion may have been a “terrorist” act but may also have been caused by an exploding gas canister.

Stavropol borders Russia’s north Caucasus, a volatile region wracked by violence and centered around Chechnya, which has fought two wars against Russia since 1994.

Nashi, el partido “para los jóvenes” de United Russia, el de Putin, sigue incorporando adeptos: ahora van a por los niños:

If Nashi can be likened to the Komsomol, the Soviet-era organization of high school and university students, then Mishki is a throwback to the Pioneers, the children’s group of the same period that survives today — except many of the “children” were old enough to shave. Their essential purpose, just like Nashi, is to support Putin. “I love the Mishki! I love Russia! I love Putin! Together, we will win!” children’s voices boomed from speakers set up on Vasilyevsky Spusk, near Red Square, during the morning Nashi rally.

Sobre los Nashi podeis leer aquí:

Activists circulated through the crowd, handing out a leaflet warning that the United States was trying to sabotage Putin’s triumph. A cartoon, drawn in the style of a Soviet propaganda poster, depicts a sinister Uncle Sam sitting on sacks of money with names of Russian opposition leaders written on them. “They wanted traitors and thieves to win,” the text says. “Between Dec. 3 and 6, before the official announcement of the election’s result, [the traitors] will try to seize squares and buildings, provoke disorder, take our victory from us.”

Ellos, los que no piensan igual son traidores, a quienes pagan los yanquis. ¿A qué me suena esto?

Y, por supuesto sigue persiguiendo a la oposición [English]:

All three campaigns – the two previous and the one current – have in common the manner in which the authorities conducted themselves: with massive violations of the law, including laws adopted by the very same authorities; theatric shows with elements of psychosis (según parece, ponían música patriótica en los cabinas de votación); the prevention of political opponents from participating in the elections; and intimidation, violence and terror – right up to the jailing of political opponents. While the degree of viciousness and scale of the authorities’ illegal actions still falls short of events in the USSR and Germany seventy years ago, there can be no doubt about the direction in which the present regime is evolving.

Hmm, la Rusia de Putin cada vez se parece más a la de la película El Santo… Eso sí, como no podía ser menos, Sarkozy, después de lo de la Unión Mediterránea y el medio-perdón-a-ver-si-me-llevo-los-contratos-de-gas por la colonización francesa en Argelia, tuvo que volver a meter la pata [English] desde el punto de vista internacional, después de haber pedido democracia para Rusia:

La Unión Europea se mostró el martes dividida por las elecciones parlamentarias rusas, ampliamente criticadas, después de que el presidente francés, Nicolas Sarkozy, telefoneara a su colega Vladimir Putin para felicitarle.

El gesto del líder francés lo enfrentó con Alemania (¡¡¡bien por Merkel!!!), que describió rotundamente la elección como “ni justa, ni libre, ni democrática” de acuerdo a los patrones occidentales.

La mayoría del resto de gobiernos de la UE expresaron su preocupación por las informaciones de irregularidades.

También pareció ir en contra de las críticas de su propio Ministerio de Asuntos Exteriores, que se hizo eco de las objeciones de los pocos observadores europeos a los que se permitió seguir el proceso

¿Que por qué ha hecho esto? Por lo mismo que no criticó con dureza a la dictadura birmana (fue mucho más duro Gordón): al igual que nuestro líder cósmico, también quiere incrementar las relaciones con la Rusia de Putin. También es posible que el NIE de EEUU [Enlish] (ya bloguearé sobre esta cuestión, muy importante por las consecuencias y sobre todo por si podemos o no fiarnos de la inteligencia americana) en el que se dice que Irán ya no es un peligro nuclear (hasta que decida volver a producir armas nucleares) haya tenido algo que ver, porque es lo que más les enfrentó [English] durante la visita de Sarkozy a Rusia.

Las últimas noticias son que Putin quiere además constituir un Estado conjunto con Bielorrusia [English], la única dictadura de Europa.

Para confirmar aún más, el estilo dictatorial de Putin, podemos leer en la Russophobe [English] que Putin ha impulsado medidas para controlar internet, de lo que ya he hablado antes. Pero en este caso es especialmente importante: uno de los oligarcas de Putin, Alexander Mamut compró el servicio público Six Apart- LiveJournal en ruso. El problema es que no sólo los rusos escriben en ruso y, por tanto, Putin estaría controlando también a los usuarios de LiveJournal que, viviendo fuera de Rusia, escriban en ruso:

the question here is what will happen if relations between the United States and Russia continue to deteriorate — American SixApart customers using the Russian language will find that their online archives are effectively under foreign jurisdiction. After all, the Putin government hasn’t exactly been kind to their media critics.

[…]”Mr. Rykov is pro-Kremlin. Mamut and Sup are pro-Kremlin. The social networks are all being bought by pro-Kremlin people,” Ruslan Paushu, 30, a popular blogger who works for Rykov, said in an interview. “Everything’s okay.”

Más en el Opinador Compulsivo.

Pero la victoria de Putin es posible que haya tenido otro efecto interesante: la posición de China respecto de Irán ha variado ligeramente:

Well, if the United States, the European Union, and CNN are worried that Putin’s Russia will increasingly flex geopolitical muscles at the expense of its neighbors, Beijing is not going to miss the point. China may want to maintain good relations with Iran for no end of economic reasons, but if the price is a Russian breakout into the Persian Gulf even the Chinese might think it is too expensive. The last thing the world needs is a nuclear Iran with even a hint of a Russian security guarantee, and the Chinese know it.

¿Es esto cierto o simplemente es un espejismo? Sería curioso (y bastante bueno para todos) que el enfrentamiento EEUU-Rusia llevara a un enfrentamiento China-Rusia. Personalmente, no creo que Rusia se distancie mucho de China por Siberia. Deberá elegir entre Irán y China. Y no podrá entretenerse mucho

Dmitry Medvedev, left, and President Vladimir Putin of Russia in a photo from March. (Pool photo by Natalia Kolesnikova)

In English:

Putin’s backing of Medvedev likely to boost Russian markets
MarketWatch – 34 minutes ago
By Polya Lesova, marketwatch NEW YORK (marketwatch) — Russian President Vladimir Putin’s endorsement Monday of the presidential candidacy of Dmitry Medvedev, the chairman of oil giant Gazprom, will likely boost the Russian equity markets,
Video: Putin names his candidate for presidency RussiaToday

  1. Putin Names Choice for Succession @ IHT.
  2. Editorial: Chapter One Ends Today, Chapter Two will begin tomorrow @ La Russophobe.
  3. Russia says it must have nuclear parity with US @ Reuters.
  4. Russia launches first naval power build-up station in the Mediterranean in response to the US about – face in Iran @ NoisyRoom.Net.
  5. Putin and Chávez: Election Fraud and Election Defeat @ Confessions of a Closet Republican.

Posts anteriores:

  1. Rusia: denuncias generalizadas de fraude electoral. Y Sarkozy haciendo el CANISIO. Ni siquiera Moratinos ha sido tan tonnnnnnnto (o tan lisssssto…. que los negocios es lo que tienen).
  2. La Rusia neo-soviética una realidad tras arrasar Putin.
  3. Elecciones en Rusia: el resultado arrollador de Putin (II).
  4. Putin: las encuestas preconizan un resultado arrollador.
  5. David “Pepiño” Miliband. El impulsor de la “Unión UE-Rusia-Oriente Medio-Norte de África“… Claro, hmm, todos los problemas del mundo dentro de la UE. ¿Por qué no una unión de todos los planetas? Excluyendo, eso sí, a EEUU, que, como se sabe, son mú malosos…
  6. Rusia quiere ganar la Guerra Fría 30 años después de perderla.
  7. Russia limits election observers and breaks weapons’ control agreement with EU.
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